EMT 668
Assignment #12


Before we attempt to graph temperature data, we need to obtain accurate data. The sources that I have found were the following:

WeatherPages
National Weather Service
Southeast Regional Climate Center


From each of these sites, you can download many different weather variables for many cities in the U.S. I have the following data that I have dowloaded from these sites:

Athens, GA 1994 - 1995
Chicago, IL 1994 - 1995
Athens GA 1990 - 1997
Chicago, IL 1958 - 1990


These are data files. To import these into Microsoft Excel, copy these files from this page (or obtain your own data sets from the above web pages) and follow these steps.

1. Open Excel and under the File menu Open the data file.
2. You will see a dialog box showing the suggested method of conversion. The line 'original data type delimited' should be selected. Click on NEXT.
3. Select 'comma as delimiter' and click on FINISH.
4. Excel will place the data into cells. You may need to resize the columns to see all the information in a cell. Also, near the top of the page is a key to the abbreviations that are used in the data set.


I have completed this procedure with the Athens, GA 1990 - 1997 data. This Excel file may be easier for you to use since I have put the data into columns and I have found the monthly average of the mean temperature. In another Excel file, I have set-up the following monthly averages which I have graphed.

Since I know the temperature is a recurring cyclic event, I will model it with the sine curve. So, I have graphed the equation y = a sin (bx + c) + d and compared it to the graph of the actual data.
In my spreadsheet, I have used the formula for the temperature in January as y = v23 * sin (v24 * w3 + v25) + v26, where a = v23, b = v24, c = v25, d = v26 and the number of the month corresponding to the above column (i.e., january was w3 = 1). I did this for each month where a, b, c, and d were the same values but the number of the month was different. I put these values into a column as seen below:

Then, I have set up the spreadsheet as follows:


Note, that because of the way that I set up the spreadsheet, as I change a, b, c, or d, I can see immediately how this change affects the function with respect to how it models the actual data. As you can see, I can manipulate the data very easily, and keep changing the parameters until I get a close agreement with the data. From my experience, the ease of the set-up will appeal to students and will keep them actively searching for a close agreement between the actual data and the equation modeling the data.

Possible extensions to this would be to graph the average mean temperature for one year and note that it is not as close to a sine curve as the average over seven years. A discussion of why this is so could help students understand data sampling and why statisticians seek larger number of data.


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